Abu Musab al-Zarqawi Has Fallen But the Insurgency is Unlikely to Dissipate (Updated)

Abu Musab al-Zarqawi may have been killed by American forces but I believe that his death will have little impact on the resistance against regime change and U.S. occupation. The insurgency is primarily Iraqi based with probably only a 1000 or so from third countries such as Saudi Arabia, Syria, Jordan or Yemen. Yet in a way the insurgency is as much an international coalition as the American “Coalition of the Skrinking.” 

It is not going to dissolve without a political settlement. The U.S., which Mr Bush did not bother to address in his June 8, 2006 statement, cannot win this war militarily but only through a political settlement. The resistance has reached the Vietnam level of a major national uprising. In four out of the eighteen provinces of Iraq, the insurgency is intensifying. Yet those four are the most populous. It is noteworthy that al-Zarqawi was not killed in Anbar province which is the most restive but in Hibhib in Diyala province north of Baghdad. In any event the end of the war in Iraq will require the following: 

The withdrawal of all occupying American forces.

The cessation of building the new embassy in the Green Zone.

The beginning of direct negotiations between Sunni, Shi’a, Al Qaeda and American negotiators.

A rapprochement with Iran including security guarantees, a Middle East nuclear free zone, and some of the components of the European-American deal offered to Iran.

An insistence that Israeli occupation and colonisation must end in Palestine. A Palestinian state with secure borders and an absence of a concentration camp wall encircling these exploited and suffering Arab peoples.

The intervention of a U.N. peacekeeping force. 

As many leaders in Al Qaeda, Zarqawi developed his radicalism in his native land. In this case as an opponent of the westernised Hashemite kingdom in Jordan. Then like Osama and others before him, he went to Afghanistan in 1989 to assist the mujahedeen in their resistance against the Soviet Union. However, upon arrival the Soviet disengagement had begun so he literally did not fight in the resistance there. Then with the American invasion in 2003, he moved to Iraq and formed a wing of Al Qaeda called Al Qaeda in Mesopotamia. His death will have short-term significance in the absence of a political settlement.

According to the Washington Post:

"Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld told reporters in Brussels that the killing of Zarqawi eliminated "the leading terrorist in Iraq and one of the three senior al-Qaeda leaders worldwide." In a news conference after a NATO meeting, he said, "I think arguably over the last several years no single person on this planet has had the blood of more innocent men, women and children on his hands than Zarqawi."

I think the SecDef and the current president of the United States should consider their actions, not to mention the baby-killing sanctions of Presidents George H.W. Bush and Clinton, and I believe Zarqawi-induced casualties would be considerably less than the Americans.

I noted in the video of the bombs fired from F-16s a certain routine quality in the presentation of Maj. Gen. William B. Caldwell IV, spokesperson for the  Multi-National Force. "Engage" the target. "Reengage" the target. Six people were killed and while I would not expect America to shed a tear over the apparent demise of Zarqawi, I would think that some reflection on what war means and what killing other humans mean would be forthcoming from a  major general in the United States military. He did not gloat but there seemed an utter detachment from such a violent event as dropping bombs on a structure and killing its residents inside.

I take no delight in this incident and the killing of these people. I call for the withdrawal of American forces from the theatre and the end of this monstrous, evil war that the U.S. caused for the purposes of advancing Zionism, the control of the Gulf and the subjugation of Arab peoples in oil-rich nations.

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